IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.4	#318
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#111
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#310

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.3%	6.9%	2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.9	15.5

.500 or above	18.5%	47.0%	17.3%
.500 or above in Conference	34.1%	51.5%	33.4%
Conference Champion	3.4%	8.9%	3.2%
Last Place in Conference	18.2%	7.0%	18.7%

First Four	1.0%	1.3%	1.0%
First Round	1.7%	6.1%	1.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.3	0.0 - 0.3
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.6	0.0 - 1.0
Quad 2	0.1 - 1.4	0.1 - 2.4
Quad 3	1.0 - 5.3	1.0 - 7.7
Quad 4	9.5 - 10.8	10.5 - 18.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2018	78	@ Boston College	L	67-83	4%
Nov 14, 2018	130	@ Richmond	L	68-80	9%
Nov 18, 2018	293	@ Lafayette	L	73-75	33%
Nov 23, 2018	275	IUPUI	L	67-70	39%
Nov 24, 2018	268	@ Niagara	L	78-81	28%
Nov 28, 2018	319	@ Presbyterian	W	69-68	41%
Dec 08, 2018	228	@ NJIT	L	68-73	23%
Dec 11, 2018	306	Umass Lowell	L	78-79	57%
Dec 15, 2018	178	St. Peter's	L	59-68	32%
Dec 19, 2018	31	@ St. John's	L	64-85	2%
Dec 23, 2018	291	Manhattan	L	67-69	54%
Jan 03, 2019	315	@ Bryant	L	77-78	39%
Jan 05, 2019	215	@ Wagner	L	67-73	22%
Jan 10, 2019	233	Robert Morris	L	68-73	43%
Jan 12, 2019	160	St. Francis (PA)	L	70-80	29%
Jan 19, 2019	324	Sacred Heart	W	72-71	62%
Jan 21, 2019	225	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	74-80	24%
Jan 24, 2019	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	74-78	28%
Jan 26, 2019	331	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	69-67	46%
Jan 31, 2019	313	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	69-70	39%
Feb 02, 2019	324	@ Sacred Heart	W	72-71	43%
Feb 07, 2019	215	Wagner	L	67-73	40%
Feb 09, 2019	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	74-78	46%
Feb 14, 2019	225	LIU Brooklyn	L	74-80	43%
Feb 16, 2019	313	Central Connecticut St.	L	69-70	59%
Feb 21, 2019	160	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	70-80	15%
Feb 23, 2019	233	@ Robert Morris	L	68-73	25%
Feb 28, 2019	315	Bryant	L	77-78	60%
Mar 02, 2019	331	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-67	67%
Projected Record						10.5 - 18.5	7.3 - 10.7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	0.8	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0		3.4	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.5	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0				5.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.4	2.6	2.0	0.6	0.1						6.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.0	3.5	2.3	0.4	0.0							8.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.9	4.7	2.3	0.4	0.0								10.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	3.2	5.4	2.6	0.3										11.9	6th
7th					0.0	0.9	4.0	5.5	2.7	0.3											13.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	1.4	4.4	5.6	2.3	0.4	0.0											14.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	2.6	4.5	4.3	1.5	0.2	0.0												13.7	9th
10th	0.5	1.6	3.1	3.9	2.5	0.6	0.1	0.0													12.3	10th

Total	0.5	1.6	3.6	6.6	8.4	10.2	11.7	11.5	11.8	9.8	7.6	6.0	4.3	3.2	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	99.6%	0.4		0.4	0.1
15-3	83.5%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	54.7%	0.9		0.5	0.4	0.1
13-5	24.7%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	8.8%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.4%	3.4		1.8	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		49.1%	49.1%		8.5									0.0						0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.1%		76.5%	76.1%	0.3%	14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.0		1.4%
16-2	0.4%		38.7%	38.7%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.3
15-3	0.9%		31.1%	31.1%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.6
14-4	1.7%		14.1%	14.1%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	1.5
13-5	3.2%		14.7%	14.7%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	2.7
12-6	4.3%		7.3%	7.3%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	4.0
11-7	6.0%		4.2%	4.2%		15.9																0.0	0.2	5.8
10-8	7.6%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.2	7.4
9-9	9.8%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	9.7
8-10	11.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.7
7-11	11.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
6-12	11.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-13	10.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
4-14	8.4%																							8.4
3-15	6.6%																							6.6
2-16	3.6%																							3.6
1-17	1.6%																							1.6
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		2.3%	2.3%	0.0%	15.4									0.0				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.4	97.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%